Wednesday, July 6, 2011

A Nifty Little Exercise

June/9 we sensed relative interest rate pressure, US side vs Germany. Thus, we recommended selling (S) the US 10 yr at 2.99% and buying (L) the Ger Bund at 3.03%. Last, 3.11% vs 2.93%.

Thus, the price of the 10 yr is now considerably lower; the price of the Bund, considerably higher. Trading desks usually exercise such a strategy with futures; it can be done with cash. Either way, the return for the 4 wk trade is very satisfactory.

We would recommend that clients take in half and let the balance remain until further notice.


Robert Craven

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