Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Central Planners at the Fed

It never works. A planned economy that is. As most of the world has given it up - China and India the largest and most recent examples - first Obama, and now Bernanke have embraced it.

With 2012 in mind Obama pretends he’s learned his lesson. Bernanke makes no such overtures.

The Fed’s mandate was price stability; full employment is now included. An individual or individuals may see to the first, the later is far out of scope for any would-be social architect.

When the Fed sticks close to home - supplying or extracting short term funds, letting the rest of the term structure see to its own, it does pretty well. When the Fed tries to manipulate longer term interest rates - rates then no longer driven by the old fashioned myriad of mkt pressures, but by planners at the FOMC - we are in for some trouble (See our Feb/9 sketch).

Sure they’ve got all the statistics at their disposal, sure they’re all experts, these Fed types, sure they’ve got the power to pull almost any trigger. But that’s no different from any planners of the past - all of whom have failed. Heck, even modern day Communists and socialists have begun to repudiate this approach. Communist China, a phony, knows best. As they replaced planning with more reliance on markets their growth rate spiked.

Thomas Sowell reminds us that, “Elites may have more brilliance, but those who make decisions for society as a whole cannot possibly have as much experience as the millions of people whose decisions they preempt. The education and intellects of the elites may lead them to have more sweeping presumptions, but that just makes them more dangerous to the freedom, as well as to the well-being, of the people as a whole.”


Robert Craven

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