This am we listed potential surprises and the Philly Fed manufacturing survey was one. Holy cow! It fell through the floor! (Leading Indicators were also lower today but most of us who have been around a while know these are not as "leading" as their promoters would like you to believe.)
This Philly regional survey is important because past years it has been an accurate gauge of activity ahead for not just this region, but nationwide. Today’s result will birth the view for a major slowing in the engine that led the recovery. And with the reality of central banks offshore (UK, EU, China) keen to pull the trigger in the face of price pressures, exports, a major spark for manufacturing, may slow.
Robert Craven
This Philly regional survey is important because past years it has been an accurate gauge of activity ahead for not just this region, but nationwide. Today’s result will birth the view for a major slowing in the engine that led the recovery. And with the reality of central banks offshore (UK, EU, China) keen to pull the trigger in the face of price pressures, exports, a major spark for manufacturing, may slow.
Robert Craven
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